Hauv nws qhov Kev Tshuaj Xyuas Kev Thauj Mus Los Maritime rau xyoo 2021, Lub Rooj Sab Laj Txog Kev Lag Luam thiab Kev Txhim Kho ntawm United Nations (UNCTAD) tau hais tias qhov kev nce siab tam sim no ntawm cov nqi thauj khoom hauv thawv, yog tias txuas ntxiv mus, tuaj yeem ua rau cov nqi ntshuam khoom thoob ntiaj teb nce 11% thiab cov nqi khoom siv los ntawm 1.5% ntawm tam sim no thiab 2023.
Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm cov nqi thauj khoom siab yuav loj dua hauv cov xeev me me uas tseem tab tom txhim kho (SIDS), uas yuav ua rau cov nqi ntshuam khoom nce 24% thiab cov nqi khoom siv los ntawm 7.5%. Hauv cov teb chaws uas tsis tshua muaj kev txhim kho (LDCs), cov nqi khoom siv yuav nce 2.2%.
Thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2020, tus nqi thauj khoom tau nce mus rau qib uas tsis tau xav txog. Qhov no tau pom tseeb hauv Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) tus nqi tam sim ntawd.
Piv txwv li, tus nqi SCFI ntawm txoj kev Shanghai-Tebchaws Europe tsawg dua $ 1,000 ib TEU thaum Lub Rau Hli 2020, nce mus txog kwv yees li $ 4,000 ib TEU thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2020, thiab nce mus txog $ 7,552 ib TEU thaum kawg ntawm lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2021.
Tsis tas li ntawd xwb, tus nqi thauj khoom yuav tseem siab vim muaj kev thov khoom ntau ntxiv ua ke nrog kev tsis paub meej txog kev muab khoom thiab kev txhawj xeeb txog kev ua haujlwm zoo ntawm kev thauj mus los thiab chaw nres nkoj.
Raws li daim ntawv tshaj tawm tshiab los ntawm Sea-Intelligence, ib lub tuam txhab muab cov ntaub ntawv thiab kev pab tswv yim txog kev caij nkoj hauv Copenhagen, kev thauj khoom hauv dej hiav txwv yuav siv sijhawm ntau dua ob xyoos kom rov qab mus rau qib ib txwm.
Yuav ua li no, peb tau xam tus nqi nruab nrab txhua lub lim tiam rau 5 lub sijhawm nrog kev nce nqi. Qhov nruab nrab, dhau 5 lub sijhawm ntawm kev poob qis, cov nqi tau poob qis -0.6 feem pua ntawm ib lub lim tiam, qhov nruab nrab. Dhau 5 lub sijhawm ntawm kev nce, peb pom cov nqi nce los ntawm 1.1 feem pua ntawm lub sijhawm. Qhov no txhais tau tias muaj qhov sib piv ntawm 1.8 ntawm kev nce thiab kev txo qis, txhais tau tias kev nce nqi feem ntau yuav muaj zog dua 80%, txhua lub lim tiam, dua li kev txo qis. Raws li qib nqi tam sim no los tom qab 17 lub hlis ntawm kev nce nqi tas mus li, qhov tshwm sim dhau los ua 30 lub hlis ua ntej rov qab mus rau qhov ntsuas 1000.
UNCTAD qhov kev tshuaj xyuas qhia tau hais tias cov nqi thauj khoom siab dua muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua rau cov nqi khoom siv ntawm qee yam khoom dua li lwm yam, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov uas koom ua ke nrog cov khoom xa tuaj thoob ntiaj teb, xws li cov khoos phis tawj, thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob thiab kho qhov muag.
Cov nqi siab kuj tseem yuav cuam tshuam rau cov khoom uas tsis muaj nqi ntxiv xws li rooj tog, ntaub, khaub ncaws thiab tawv, uas feem ntau cov khoom tsim tawm yog faib ua ntu zus thoob plaws cov teb chaws uas muaj nyiaj tsawg uas nyob deb ntawm cov lag luam loj. UNCTAD kwv yees tias tus nqi ntawm cov neeg siv khoom yuav nce ntxiv 10.2% ntawm cov no.
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Kaum Ib Hlis-30-2021
